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Emissions Trading
Fundamentals
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European Energy Trading System (ETS)
The
European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) is the largest
multi-national, emissions trading scheme in the world,[1]
and is a major pillar of EU climate policy. The ETS currently covers
more than 10,000 installations in the energy and industrial sectors
which are collectively responsible for close to half of the EU's
emissions of CO2 and 40% of its total greenhouse gas
emissions.[2]
Under the EU
ETS, large emitters of carbon dioxide within the EU must monitor and
annually report their CO2 emissions, and they are obliged
every year to return an amount of emission allowances to the
government that is equivalent to their CO2 emissions in
that year. In order to neutralize annual irregularities in CO2-emission
levels that may occur due to extreme weather events (such as harsh
winters or very hot summers), emission allowances for any plant
operator subject to the EU ETS are given out for a sequence of
several years at once. Each such sequence of years is called a
Trading Period. The 1st EU ETS Trading Period expired in December
2007; it had covered all EU ETS emissions since January 2005. With
its termination, the 1st phase EU allowances became invalid. Since
January 2008, the 2nd Trading Period is under way which will last
until December 2012. Currently, the installations get the allowances
for free from the EU member states' governments. Besides receiving
this initial allocation on a plant-by plant basis, an operator may
purchase EU allowances from others (installations, traders, the
government.) If an installation has received more free allowances
than it needs, it may sell them to anybody.
In January
2008, the European Commission proposed a number of changes to the
scheme, including centralized allocation (no more national
allocation plans) by a EU authority, a turn to auctioning a greater
share (60+ %) of permits rather than allocating freely, and
inclusion of other greenhouse gases, such as nitrous oxide and per
fluorocarbons.[2].
These changes are still in a draft stage; the mentioned amendments
are only likely to become effective from January 2013 onwards, i.e.
in the 3rd Trading Period under the EU ETS. Also, the proposed caps
for the 3rd Trading Period foresee an overall reduction of
greenhouse gases for the sector of 21% in 2020 compared to 2005
emissions. It is also under consideration whether or not to extend
the EU ETS to other industries (airlines[3]).
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The EU
scheme used to be a system of climate change policy that was
completely independent of International Climate Change Policy such
as the United Nations' Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC,
1992) or the Kyoto Protocol that was subsequently (1997) established
under it. When the Kyoto Protocol came into force on 16th February
2005, the EU ETS had already become operational. Only later, the EU
decided to accept Kyoto flexible mechanism certificates as
compliance tools within the EU ETS. The "Linking Directive" allows
operators to use a certain amount of Kyoto certificates from
flexible mechanism projects in order to cover their emissions. The
Kyoto flexible mechanisms are the Joint Implementation (JI, Art. 6
Kyoto Protocol), the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM, Art. 12 Kyoto
Protocol) and the International Emissions Trading (Art. 17 Kyoto
Protocol). The latter bears no direct relevance for the EU ETS, but
certificates from Clean Development Mechanism projects have become a
relevant compliance tool for EU ETS operators. These Certified
Emission Reductions (CERs) can be obtained by implementing emission
reduction projects in developing nations that have ratified (or
acceded to) the Kyoto Protocol. The implementation of Clean
Development Projects is largely specified by the Marrakech Accords,
a row of decisions by the Conference of the Parties to the Kyoto
Protocol. Although the Kyoto process had no direct influence on the
designing of the EU ETS, its legislators drew on the experiences
gained during the running of the voluntary UK Emissions Trading
Scheme in the previous years.[4]
Under the EU
ETS, the governments of the EU Member States agree national emission
caps which have to be approved by the EU commission, allocate
allowances to their industrial operators, track and validate the
actual emissions in accordance against the relevant assigned amount,
and require the allowances to be retired after the end of each year.
The operators within the ETS may reassign or trade their allowances
by several means:
-
privately, moving allowances between operators within a company
and across national borders
-
over the
counter, using a broker to privately match buyers and sellers
-
trading
on the spot market of one of Europe's climate exchanges (the
most liquid being the European Climate Exchange). Like any other
financial instrument, trading consists of matching buyers and
sellers between members of the exchange and then settling by
depositing an allowance in exchange for the agreed financial
consideration. Much like a stock market, companies and private
individuals can trade through brokers who are listed on the
exchange.
When each
change of ownership of an allowance is proposed, the national
registry and the European Commission are informed in order for them
to validate the transaction. During Phase II of the EU ETS the
UNFCCC will also validate any change that alters the distribution
within each national allocation plan.
Like the
Kyoto trading scheme, the EU scheme allows a regulated operator to
use carbon credits in the form of Emission Reduction Units (ERU) to
comply with its obligations. A Kyoto Certified Emission Reduction
unit (CER), produced by a carbon project that has been certified by
the UNFCCC's Clean Development Mechanism Executive Board or the
Joint Implementation project's host country, respectively, is
accepted by the EU as equivalent.
Thus one EU
Allowance Unit of one tonne of CO2, or "EUA", was
designed to be identical ("fungible") with the equivalent "Assigned
Amount Unit" (AAU) of CO2 defined under Kyoto. Hence,
because of the EU's decision to accept Kyoto-CERs as equivalent to
EU-EAUs, it will be possible to trade EAUs and UNFCCC-validated CERs
on a one-to-one basis within the same system. (However, the EU has
announced that this facility is being delayed, possibly until 2009,
until it can overcome its technical problems connecting to the UN
systems.[5])
During Phase
II of the EU ETS, the operators within each Member State must
surrender their allowances for inspection by the EU before they can
be "retired" by the UNFCCC.
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In order to
make sure that real trading emerges (and that CO2
emissions are reduced), EU governments must make sure that the total
amount of allowances issued to installations is less than the amount
that would have been emitted under a business-as-usual scenario. For
each Phase, the total quantity to be allocated by each Member State
is defined in the Member State National Allocation Plan (NAP)
(equivalent to its UNFCCC-defined carbon account.) The European
Commission has oversight of the NAP process and decides if the NAP
fulfills the 12 criteria set out in the Annex III of the Emission
Trading Directive (EU
Directive 2003/87/EC). The first and foremost criterion is that
the proposed total quantity is in line with a Member State's Kyoto
target.
Of course,
the Member State's plan can, and should, also take account of
emission levels in other sectors not covered by the EU ETS, and
address these within its own domestic policies. For instance,
transport is responsible for 21% of EU greenhouse gas emissions,
households and small businesses for 17% and agriculture for 10%.[6]
During Phase
I, most allowances in all countries were given freely (known as
grandfathering). This approach has been criticized as giving rise to
windfall profits, being less efficient than auctioning, and
providing too little incentive for innovative new competition to
provide clean, renewable energy.[7][8]
To address
these problems, the European Commission proposed various changes in
a January 2008 package, including the abolishment of NAPs from 2013
and auctioning a far greater share (ca. 60% in 2013, growing
afterward) of emission permits. At the time of writing (January
2008), the proposal would still need approval from the European
member states and the EU Parliament to come into effect.
Banking and Borrowing
Within Phase
I, banking and borrowing is allowed. For example, a 2006 EUA can be
used in 2007 (Banking) or in 2005 (Borrowing). Banking and borrowing
of EUA's from Phase I to Phase II is not allowed.
[9]
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Phase I
In the first
phase (2005-2007), the EU ETS includes some 12,000 installations,
representing approximately 40% of EU CO2 emissions,[10]
covering energy activities (combustion installations with a rated
thermal input exceeding 20 MW, mineral oil refineries, coke ovens),
production and processing of ferrous metals, mineral industry
(cement clinker, glass and ceramic bricks) and pulp, paper and board
activities.
Launch and operation
The scheme,
in which all 15 member states that were then members of the European
Union participated, nominally commenced operation on 1 January 2005,
although national registries were unable to settle transactions for
the first few months. However, the prior existence of the UK
Emissions Trading Scheme meant that market participants were already
in place and ready. In its first year, 362 million tonnes of CO2
were traded on the market for a sum of €7.2 billion, and a large
number of futures and options.[11]
The price of allowances increased more or less steadily to its peak
level in April 2006 of about €30 per tonne CO2,[12]
but fell in May 2006 to under €10/ton on news that some countries
were likely to give their industries such generous emission caps
that there was no need for them to reduce emissions. Lack of
scarcity under the first phase of the scheme continued through 2006
resulting in a trading price of €1.2 a tonne in March 2007,
declining to €0.10 in September 2007.
Verified
emissions have increased over the first phase of the scheme. For the
countries for which data is available (all 27 member states minus
Romania, Bulgaria and Malta), emissions increased by 1.9% between
2005 and 2007.
| |
Verified Emissions |
Change |
| |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2005-2007 |
| AT |
33,372,826 |
32,382,804 |
31,751,165 |
-4.9% |
| BE |
55,363,223 |
54,775,314 |
52,795,318 |
-4.6% |
| CY |
5,078,877 |
5,259,273 |
5,396,164 |
6.2% |
| CZ |
82,454,618 |
83,624,953 |
87,834,758 |
6.5% |
| DE |
474,990,760 |
478,016,581 |
487,004,055 |
2.5% |
| DK |
26,475,718 |
34,199,588 |
29,407,355 |
11.1% |
| EE |
12,621,817 |
12,109,278 |
15,329,931 |
21.5% |
| ES |
183,626,981 |
179,711,225 |
186,495,894 |
1.6% |
| FI |
33,099,625 |
44,621,411 |
42,541,327 |
28.5% |
| FR |
131,263,787 |
126,979,048 |
126,634,806 |
-3.5% |
| GR |
71,267,736 |
69,965,145 |
72,717,006 |
2.0% |
| HU |
26,161,627 |
25,845,891 |
26,835,478 |
2.6% |
| IE |
22,441,000 |
21,705,328 |
21,246,117 |
-5.3% |
| IT |
225,989,357 |
227,439,408 |
226,368,773 |
0.2% |
| LT |
6,603,869 |
6,516,911 |
5,998,744 |
-9.2% |
| LU |
2,603,349 |
2,712,972 |
2,567,231 |
-1.4% |
| LV |
2,854,481 |
2,940,680 |
2,849,203 |
-0.2% |
| NL |
80,351,288 |
76,701,184 |
79,874,658 |
-0.6% |
| PL |
203,149,562 |
209,616,285 |
209,601,993 |
3.2% |
| PT |
36,425,915 |
33,083,871 |
31,183,076 |
-14.4% |
| SE |
19,381,623 |
19,884,147 |
15,348,209 |
-20.8% |
| SI |
8,720,548 |
8,842,181 |
9,048,633 |
3.8% |
| SK |
25,231,767 |
25,543,239 |
24,516,830 |
-2.8% |
| UK |
242,513,099 |
251,159,840 |
256,581,160 |
5.8% |
|
Total |
2,012,043,453 |
2,033,636,557 |
2,049,927,884 |
1.9% |
Figures are
in metric tonnes of CO2
Source:
European Commission Press Release 23 May 2008[13]
Consequently, observers and NGO's have accused national governments
of abusing the system under industry pressure, and have urged for
far stricter caps in the second phase (2008-2012).[14]
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Phase II
The second
phase (2008-12) expands the scope significantly:
-
CDM and
JI credits are expected to be introduced in second phase through
the EU's 'Linking Directive', although it has been agreed that
schemes can be started in advance during Phase I[17]
-
Aviation
emissions are expected to be included from 2010.[18]
-
Four
non-EU members, Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Switzerland
join the scheme.[19]
The
inclusion of aviation is a move considered important due to the
large and rapidly growing emissions of the sector. The inclusion of
aviation is estimated to lead to an increase in demand of allowances
of about 10-12 million tonnes of CO2 per year in phase
two. This in turn is expected to lead to an increased use of JI
credits from projects in Russia and Ukraine, which would offset the
increase in prices and eventually result in no discernible impact on
average annual CO2 prices.[20]
Ultimately,
the Commission wishes the post-2012 ETS to include all greenhouse
gases and all sectors, including aviation, maritime transport and
forestry.[21]
For the transport sector, the large number of individual users adds
complexities, but might be implemented either as a cap-and-trade
system for fuel suppliers or a baseline-and-credit system for car
manufacturers.[22]
The National
Allocation Plans for Phase II, the first of which were announced on
29 November 2006, will result in an average cut of nearly 7% below
the 2005 emission levels.[23]
The annual Member State CO2 allowances in million tonnes
allowances are:
The European
Commission has started infringement proceedings against Austria,
Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Italy and Spain, for failure to
submit their proposed National Allocation Plans on time.[24]
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